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Market Intelligence
LYM Real Estate
LYM Market Intelligence Series - 2025 (this report has been edited to include a section on Geopoltical Headwinds in the region)Dubai’s property market has just come through one of its strongest runs on record. Residential prices rose about 19% in 2024 alone, with villas up slightly more than apartments, and transaction values hit new highs.That kind of performance inevitably triggers the same question over and over again:"Is Dubai a bubble thats about to burst?" The honest answer requires more than vibes, Twitter threads, or recycled 2008 stories. In this report, we strip the discussion back to what actually matters: bubble indicators, real numbers, and external analyst views.Dubai Real Estate - Quick Answers (2026)This assessment is based on pricing and data prior to 28th of February, 2026 and will be edited in the near futture as a clearer picture of market emerges post-Iran fallout. Dubai is not currently in a structural housing bubble A moderate correction (up to ~10–15%) is possible in some segments The biggest risk is supply in mid-market apartments (2025–2027 pipeline) Geopolitical uncertainty is influencing short-term sentiment The market is best described as late-cycle, not collapsing What this Report Covers:How people think they spot a bubble (and why that’s often wrong) The real economic criteria used to diagnose asset bubbles How Dubai scores on those criteria in 2025 How Dubai compares to other global cities on yields, affordability, and leverage What rating agencies like Fitch are actually warning about What all of this means for investors over the next 2-5 yearsNote: All referenced articles and data-sets are provided in the citations section at the end of this report. This analysis focuses on medium- to long-term market dynamics and is updated periodically. It is not intended as a daily news feed.
November 25, 2025
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